Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.084875 0.097976 0.112431 0.129566 0.149327 0.171409 0.197969
2026-02-08 0.064455 0.082104 0.103557 0.131567 0.167203 0.211071 0.269262
2026-02-15 0.052824 0.072079 0.097123 0.132107 0.179780 0.242584 0.331813
2026-02-22 0.045354 0.065448 0.093063 0.133823 0.192565 0.274350 0.397247
2026-03-01 0.038521 0.058341 0.086905 0.131124 0.198012 0.295702 0.449802
2026-03-08 0.033357 0.052750 0.081912 0.129020 0.203434 0.316866 0.503756
2026-03-15 0.029976 0.049312 0.079538 0.130303 0.213735 0.345990 0.572743
2026-03-22 0.028147 0.048029 0.080248 0.136352 0.232016 0.389273 0.669062
2026-03-29 0.026158 0.046186 0.079753 0.140214 0.246913 0.428376 0.762610
2026-04-05 0.024302 0.044315 0.078934 0.143308 0.260658 0.466736 0.858921
2026-04-12 0.022412 0.042134 0.077289 0.144664 0.271319 0.500599 0.950686
2026-04-19 0.020251 0.039191 0.073928 0.142442 0.275056 0.522167 1.021790
2026-04-26 0.017971 0.035795 0.069427 0.137681 0.273697 0.534544 1.077681
2026-05-03 0.016790 0.034400 0.068561 0.139859 0.286045 0.574413 1.192411
2026-05-10 0.015558 0.032750 0.067001 0.140433 0.295171 0.608788 1.299774
2026-05-17 0.014586 0.031516 0.066121 0.142257 0.306988 0.649690 1.425215
2026-05-24 0.013266 0.029393 0.063178 0.139387 0.308515 0.669318 1.507095
2026-05-31 0.012145 0.027570 0.060667 0.137150 0.311115 0.691390 1.596707
2026-06-07 0.011432 0.026575 0.059832 0.138514 0.321831 0.732186 1.733210
2026-06-14 0.011168 0.026568 0.061170 0.144947 0.344776 0.802625 1.946494
2026-06-21 0.010741 0.026136 0.061498 0.149053 0.362719 0.863464 2.143868
2026-06-28 0.010287 0.025583 0.061487 0.152344 0.379054 0.922204 2.342817
2026-07-05 0.009746 0.024762 0.060753 0.153786 0.391013 0.971688 2.524309